Stats update…for those who are asking…
With the usual disclaimers on like-4-like methods and few data points… Sadly the stabilising of new cases since Thursday looks like it hasn’t continued – not a good day (3,436 new), and it means fatalities mid-April will probably still not be falling. Was hoping it was a steadying trend. It would have meant that enough people were being careful a week before lockdown to reduce spread rate, but was too much to hope for. But lockdown works (in near term at least) so hopefully ‘new cases’ (which means mainly only new Moderate/Severe cases currently) data will stabilise within a week. We gotta get this down from doubling every 3/4 days to stable initially. Then the good news is it goes down quite fast after that with continued effort (though not as fast as it rose).
Beware…everyone’s an ‘expert’ now…!